Iowa Victories Don’t Convince Everyone

January 04, 2008 06:38 PM
by findingDulcinea Staff
Barack Obama and Mike Huckabee win the first round of caucuses. But there is much to suggest that these early successes are of little use when it comes to forecasting the final result.

30-Second Summary

Both candidates represent, according to the journalistic consensus, a shift from the status quo. Democratic candidate Barack Obama has emphasized change as the central theme of his campaign; Huckabee pursues a grassroots conservative initiative.

Obama appealed strongly to young and female voters. He also won the support of many Independents, who may prove to be the deciding factor in the primaries.

Huckabee beat his closest rival and one-time Republican favorite—Mitt Romney—by nearly 10 percent. His wide appeal to evangelical voters contributed significantly to his win. Although he was outspent by Romney 15:1, Huckabee’s ideological stance that “Iowa cannot be bought,” struck a chord with the state's independent-minded electorate.

Despite these initial gains, however, both candidates face great challenges during the next phases of the primaries. Many pundits argue that in other states funding and aggressive campaigning by their rivals will make the Iowa caucus an irrelevance.

Headline Links: Obama and Huckabee win Iowa

Key Players: Barack Obama and Mike Huckabee

Barack Obama
Mike Huckabee

Related Links: Official statistics

Opinion & Analysis: Forecasts for Obama and Huckabee

On Obama
On Huckabee

Historical Context: Primary elections

Related Topics: ‘How Many Have Become President After Losing’


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